Our "friends" at the WSJ try sugar...
* * *
Financial analyst and our contributor Donald Luskin has
described Donald Trump as a “black swan” over the political economy. He’s
referring to an outlier event that few anticipated and whose impact is
impossible to predict. As the voting season begins in Iowa, this strikes us as
a useful way for Republicans to think about the Trump candidacy.
We’ve been critical of Mr. Trump on many grounds and our
views have not changed. But we also respect the American public, and the brash
New Yorker hasn’t stayed atop the GOP polls for six months because of his
charm. Democracies sometimes elect poor leaders (see... the last eight years) but
their choices can’t be dismissed as mindless unless you want to give up on
democracy itself.
(*SHRUG*)
* I'LL JUST LET THAT ONE LAY THERE...
(*SMILE*)
The most hopeful way to interpret Mr. Trump’s support is
that the American people aren’t taking decline lying down. They know the damage
that has been done to them over the last decade — in lower incomes, diminished
economic prospects, and a far more dangerous world. But they aren’t about to
accept this as their fate.
Americans aren’t Japanese or Europeans — at least not
yet.
Mr. Trump’s promise to “make America great again” is for
many patriotic voters a rallying cry for U.S. revival. In that sense it is
motivated more by hope than by the “anger” so commonly described in the media.
* THE MEDIA... INCLUDING THE WSJ...
(*SNORTING AS I SMIRK*)
The problem is that Mr. Trump is an imperfect vessel for
this populism, to say the least.
* AS OPPOSED TO ALL THE "PERFECT" POLITICIANS
OUT THERE...???
(*GUFFAW*)
On politics and policy he is a leap into the known
unknown. That so many voters seem willing to take this leap suggests how far
confidence in American political leaders has fallen. We can debate another day
how the U.S. got here, but with the voting nigh it’s important to address what
a Trump nomination could mean for the GOP and the country.
* HERE IT COMES... THE PASSIVE-AGGRESSIVE "BUT...
BUT... BUT..."
(*ROLLING MY EYES*)
Pundits on the right are stressing the obvious that Mr.
Trump is no conservative, but he’s also no liberal. He has no consistent
political philosophy that we can detect beyond a kind of relentless pragmatism
that is common in businessmen.
(Mr. Trump calls it “the art of the deal.”)
The President he may most resemble in that populist
pragmatism, if not in manners, is another business success who turned to
politics, Herbert Hoover.
Can Mr. Trump win the Presidency if he is the nominee?
Who knows?
(*RAISING MY HAND*)
* I KNOW! (THE ANSWER IS "YES," BY THE WAY!)
We’ve argued that the GOP nominee should be the favorite
this year, and perhaps Mr. Trump can mobilize middle-class voters in Wisconsin,
Iowa, Ohio and Pennsylvania and win more states than Mitt Romney did. We
certainly know he wouldn’t shrink from flaying Hillary Clinton.
* DAMN STRAIGHT!
But there’s no guarantee that Mr. Trump would win the
mainstream, college-educated Republican voters he would also need to win.
* NOTHING IN LIFE IS GUARANTEED.
(*SHRUG*)
* OH... AND YA GOTTA LUV THAT THINLY VEILED
"COLLEGE-EDUCATED" CONDESCENSION...
(*SMIRK*)
Trump's net negative rating with the public is the
highest in the presidential field in the latest WSJ/NBC poll at minus-29. Jeb
Bush is minus-27, Mrs. Clinton minus-nine.
* FOLKS... TRUMP WOULD WIN. PERIOD.
Mr. Trump might be able to repair this image if he ran a
more sober campaign as the nominee than he has run so far, but he could also
blow up under months of intense media scrutiny. His biggest test would be
showing he has the temperament to be President, and his tantrum this week over
Megyn Kelly and Fox News isn’t reassuring.
* FOLKS... THE WSJ JUST... DOESN'T GET IT.
(*AMUSED SNORT*)
All of which means that Mr. Trump has the widest
electoral variability as a candidate. He could win, but he also could lose 60%
to 40%, taking the GOP’s Senate majority down and threatening House control. A
Clinton Presidency with Speaker Nancy Pelosi would usher in an era of anti-growth
policies worse than even 2009-2010. This is the killer black swan.
* WELL... DID I CALL IT?
(*LAUGHING*)
* PASSIVE-AGGRESSIVE...
(*SHRUG*)
* OR... JUST PLAIN OL' "ANTI-TRUMP?" (DOESN'T
REALLY MAKE A DIFFERENCE; WE'RE "ON TO THEM.")
And how would Mr. Trump govern as President? Flip a coin.
Maybe he would surround himself with astute advisers, work closely with Paul
Ryan and Mitch McConnell...
* MY HOPE WOULD BE THAT TRUMP - IF ELECTED - AS TITULAR
HEAD OF THE REPUBLICAN PARTY WOULD PUSH WITH EVERY LEVER OF POWER AND INFLUENCE
AT HIS DISPOSAL TO PUSH BOTH RYAN AND ESPECIALLY THAT TOTAL SCUMBAG MCCONNELL
OUT OF THEIR INSTITUTIONAL AND PARTY LEADERSHIP POSTS!
* FOLKS... THE WSJ OUTS ITSELF COMPLETELY WITH THIS FALSE
INFERENCE THAT RYAN AND MCCONNELL ARE THE TYPES OF "LEADERS" AMERICANS
SHOULD FLOCK TO SUPPORT.
(*SNORTING AS I SPIT ON THE GROUND*)
...and craft a reform agenda to revive the economy a la
Reagan.
(*ROLLING MY EYES*)
* AND THE WSJ BELIEVES RYAN AND MCCONNELL REPRESENT REAGANISM?
(*SNORTING WHILE SHAKING MY HEAD*)
His tax reform outline is close enough to sensible that
Mr. Ryan could knock it into shape. He would not want to be a “loser” in
office.
* FOLKS. RYAN IS A FAKE, PHONY, FRAUD. PERIOD.
But history teaches that Presidents try to do what they
say they will during a campaign, and Mr. Trump is threatening a trade war with
China, Mexico and Japan, among others.
* A "WAR" WE'D WIN, BY THE WAY.
* FOLKS... TRUMP WANTS TO REINDUSTRIALIZE AMERICA; THE
WSJ WANTS THE DEINDUSTRIALIZATION OF AMERICA TO PROCEED APACE.
(*SHRUG*)
* WHICH "PLAN" DO YOU SUPPORT?
Trump sometimes says he merely wants to start a
negotiation with China that will end happily when it bows to his wishes. China
may have other ideas. A bad sign is that Mr. Trump has hired as his campaign
policy adviser Stephen Miller, who worked for Jeff Sessions (R., Ala.), the
most anti-trade, anti-immigration Senator.
* WOW... THE WSJ IS REALLY SHOWING THEIR HAND NOW...
(*SNORT*)
* ATTACKING SESSIONS...?!?! REALLY...?!?!
Foreign policy would also be a leap in the dark.
* AS OPPOSED TO LEAPS INTO BOTTOMLESS PITS...??? (BUSH?
OBAMA?)
Mr. Trump has said he respects former U.S. Ambassador to
the U.N. John Bolton, and so do we. But Mr. Trump also admires Vladimir Putin —
enough so that even after a British judge found last week that Mr. Putin had
“probably” ordered the murder in London of a Russian defector, Mr. Trump
defended Mr. Putin because he wasn’t found “guilty.”
* Er... FOLKS... WE WERE ALLIED WITH FRIGGIN' STALIN
DURING WW2!
(*ROFLMAO*)
* THE SHAH OF IRAN DIDN'T MEET JIMMY CARTER'S
"STANDARDS;" HOW'D CARTER'S "STANDARDS" WORK OUT FOR US?
(*JUST SHAKING MY HEAD*)
* FOLKS... I FEAR WE'RE DEALING WITH IDIOTS OVER AT 1211
AVENUE OF THE AMERICAS.
Mr. Trump has shown great staying power in the polls, and
perhaps his campaign organizing talents will be as strong as his social-media
skills. But Iowa and New Hampshire are only the beginning of primaries that
have weeks or months to run, and a huge chunk of voters haven’t made up their
minds.
* CLASSIC "RAISE THE BAR," "MOVE THE GOAL-POSTS" TECHNIQUE.
(*SMIRK*)
Ted Cruz has his own electoral and governing issues and
he isn’t the only alternative to Mr. Trump, despite what both men would like
Americans to believe.
* Er... YES HE IS.
Voters could still elevate one of the other candidates.
Republicans should look closely before they leap.
* SO... IN CASE YOU DIDN'T READ BEHIND THE LINES... THIS
WAS FAIR WARNING THAT IF THE WSJ CAN DESTROY TRUMP... THEIR NEXT TARGET WILL BE
CRUZ.
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