"Collaborating" With The New York Times...
Running for New Jersey governor in 2009, Chris Christie
hammered the Democratic incumbent, Jon S. Corzine, for using “one-shot
gimmicks” to balance the budget, called it “unconscionable” to take away
property tax rebates and railed against issuing more debt for transportation
projects, promising to “start saying no to spending.”
* YES... THAT WAS THEN... THAT WAS CHRIS CHRISTIE 2009...
CANDIDATE CHRISTIE 2009...
But in four years in office, Governor Christie, a
Republican, has relied on the same kind of short-term strategies, diverting
money for things like affordable housing and property tax rebates to balance
the budget, and tapping funds intended for development of new sources of energy
to keep the lights on in state buildings.
* THAT'S BECAUSE HE'S A SCUMBAG.
Mr. Christie made headlines when he declared he was
canceling construction of a tunnel under the Hudson River to halt runaway
costs, but he has issued more debt for transportation projects than any of his
predecessors.
(*SNORT*)
* I DO HOWEVER TAKE ISSUE WITH THE WORD
"ISSUED." I'D SAY "SUPPORTED." (AFTER ALL, HE DIDN'T DO IT
BY EXECUTIVE FIAT... DID HE?)
Overall spending has risen 14%...
* GEEZUS...
...and while state surpluses nationwide are growing, New
Jersey’s has shrunk to its lowest percentage in a decade.
* TELL ME MORE ABOUT THESE "SURPLUSES."
The state’s bond rating is among the worst in the
country.
* HAS IT GONE DOWN SINCE CHRISTIE HAS BEEN IN
OFFICE...??? (HEY... I CAN BELIEVE SOMEONE IS A SCUMBAG AND STILL BE FAIR TO
HIM!)
Mr. Christie’s record is drawing scrutiny now, not only
because he is emphasizing that he “restored fiscal sanity” to the state as he
seeks re-election next week, but also because of his possible presidential
candidacy: As a Northeastern Republican, he needs a way to connect with the
party’s conservative base, and a strong message of fiscal management could help
him offset skepticism about his positions on social issues.
* YES... BY ALL MEANS... LET'S STICK TO FISCAL
MANAGEMENT!
Wall Street ratings agencies and nonpartisan commissions...have
been sounding warnings about Mr. Christie’s financial management since early in
his tenure. The governor has promoted a “Jersey Comeback,” but an analysis of
budgets across the country in June rated New Jersey and Georgia as highest in
“fiscal stress,” in a category called “What Recovery?”
“He’s posing as a fiscal conservative, and he’s not,”
said Gordon MacInnes, a Democratic former state senator and now president of
New Jersey Policy Perspective, a liberal-leaning group. “He talks about a
mythical fact that he has produced four balanced budgets. Well, every governor
since 1947 has done that, as the Constitution has required them. That’s not the
question. The question is, do you balance current spending on current revenues?
Or do you borrow against the future to pay for current services?”
(*NOD*)
Spending continues to expand. Mr. Christie’s budget for
2014, at just shy of $33 billion, will reach the second highest amount in state
history and more than Governor Corzine’s did in his last two years in office.
(*JUST SHAKING MY HEAD*)
Mr. Christie’s critics give him credit for progress in
one key area: working with the Legislature to pay more toward the state’s
pension obligations. His administration argues that the state would be in
catastrophic shape had he not done so. The governor and the Legislature also
limited the size of arbitration awards and the amount by which towns could
increase property taxes, and required public employees to contribute more
toward their benefits. The administration says these measures will slow the
growth of property taxes over time.
“The governor did this without a care for the political
fallout from special interests that his predecessors and Democratic
legislatures cowered and caved to year after year,” said Michael Drewniak, a
spokesman for Mr. Christie. “That delay and lack of courage carried serious and
lingering consequences, which Governor Christie addressed aggressively to date
and will continue to meet head-on.”
* AND I APPLAUD THE GOVERNOR FOR... er... DOING HIS
JOB... FOR ACTING AS A TRUE CONSERVATIVES ON THESE ISSUES. (WHERE CHRISTIE DESERVES
KUDOS HE'LL GET 'EM FROM ME!)
And some of those who have watched New Jersey’s finances
spin out of control over the previous decades — when governors had to raise
taxes even in good economic times to satisfy budget demands — say he is moving
the state in the right direction.
(*LISTENING*)
“You can’t deal with it all at once,” said Joseph J.
Seneca, a professor of economics at Rutgers and a former chairman of the New
Jersey Council of Economic Advisors. “New Jersey got itself into its fiscal
problems and an underperforming economy over many years. It’s going to take
some time to get back, but I think the important first steps have occurred very
effectively.”
But a recurring pattern has emerged in Mr. Christie’s
approach to budgeting that concerns ratings agencies: The governor bases his
spending plans on robust revenue growth, despite evidence of a weak economy.
And because he has pledged not to raise taxes, when those revenues fail to
materialize, he is left scrambling to drain money from other accounts to
balance the state budget, relying on the gimmicks he once derided Mr. Corzine
for using.
(*PURSED LIPS*)
During the past two years, he took $175 million from the
money paid to states to settle complaints of mortgage fraud, intended to help
homeowners prevent foreclosure. (Nationwide, New Jersey has the second-highest
percentage of homes in foreclosure.) Last year, he planned to take $166 million
that towns were supposed to spend to build affordable housing. (The towns have
sued to stop him, so the governor may have to fill an even bigger hole.)
* IS IT JUST ME OR DO YOU GUYS READ THIS AND ALSO REACT
BY THINKING, "HOW IN THE HELL IS THIS LEGAL?"
Christie relied on an accounting switch earlier this
year, announcing that instead of sending out property tax rebates in May, as
has been the custom, the state would send them out in August, pushing $400
million onto the next budget.
(*JUST SHAKING MY HEAD*)
This year’s budget also counts on a one-time bonus of
$120 million that he expects to be paid by a company hired to run the state
lottery.
(*ROLLING MY EYES*)
Mr. Christie has been especially aggressive about taking
funds dedicated to energy efficiency, to developing renewable energy and to
reducing costs for rate payers. He has taken roughly $700 million in so-called
clean energy funds, dumping most of that into the general fund, and using a
smaller percentage to pay utility bills in state buildings. The transfers began
small — $42.5 million in fiscal year 2011 — then more than quadrupled over the
next three budgets.
* AND FRANKLY IN ONE SENSE I'M APPLAUDING ALL OF THIS
RE-ROUTING OF MONEY. THE THING IS... DO IT HONESTLY... BE FORTHRIGHT... BRAG
ABOUT IT, DON'T "HIDE" IT SO THAT WE HAVE TO READ ABOUT IT IN THE
NEWSPAPER!
That money came mostly from a “societal benefits charge”
on ratepayers’ electric and natural gas bills, and from auctioning off carbon
dioxide emission allowances under the Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative, which
Mr. Christie pulled out of soon after taking office.
* AGAIN... HURRAY FOR CHRISTIE HAVING PULLED OUT OF THIS
NONSENSE... THE "REGIONAL GREENHOUSE GAS INITIATIVE."
He has similarly drained money intended to fix the
state’s aging roads, bridges and public transit system. When he was elected,
the Transportation Trust Fund, which for three decades has paid for capital
improvements, was depleted. Mr. Christie rejected calls to raise the gasoline
tax and instead asked the Corzine administration, then in its lame-duck period,
to issue debt to fill it. When that began to run out, he replenished it with
money that had been intended for building the Hudson rail tunnel to connect
North Jersey and Manhattan, which he had canceled.
* OK. FAIR ENOUGH. INDEED... KUDOS!
He issued $4 billion in bonds, but said that to avoid
future borrowing, he would increase the amount the state contributed toward the
transportation trust fund every year. But when revenues came up shorter than
his projections in 2013, he took the turnpike tolls intended for those
contributions to the trust fund and used them to help balance the overall state
budget. For fiscal year 2014, he again eliminated the planned payments.
* NOW HE'S BACK TO BEING A SCUMBAG.
In late 2012, the State Budget Crisis Task Force, a
bipartisan panel led by Paul A. Volcker, a former Federal Reserve chairman, and
Richard Ravitch, a former lieutenant governor of New York, warned that New
Jersey’s reliance on the one-shot practice had led to “structurally unbalanced
budgets.” The report argued that the pension overhaul was in trouble: The state
would have to come up with $5.5 billion a year in annual payments by 2018, and
current budgets did not suggest where that money might come from. With a small
surplus, then projected at $648 million, there was “little room for error” in
revenue projections. “This pushes difficult budget choices off to future years
and is ultimately unsustainable,” the report said.
The projected surplus has fallen since then, to about
$300 million, or less than 1% of the overall budget. (By contrast, the national
average has been higher than 6% since 2011.) New Jersey’s rainy day fund, too,
has been empty since the recession.
The report on fiscal stress last spring, by the Federal
Funds Information for States, a non-partisan group that relies on states’ own
reporting of their finances, found that unlike most states that had pulled
themselves out of the recession years, New Jersey was struggling more this
year, given its lower-than-expected tax collections and little surplus to
cushion it.
That was not the only warning sounded.
In 2011, ratings agencies downgraded the state’s bond
rating — it is still among the worst in the nation — out of concern about the
low surplus.
* WELL... THAT ANSWERS A PREVIOUS QUESTION!
In recent years, they have also issued alerts that the
governor’s inflated revenue predictions were threatening another downgrade.
(*JUST SHAKING MY HEAD*)
This spring, the Christie administration acknowledged in
a prospectus for potential investors that even its signature pension overhaul
would present a “significant burden on all aspects of the state’s finances.” “No
assurances can be given as to the level of the state’s pension contributions in
future fiscal years,” it said.
Still, Mr. Christie’s optimism abides. Next month, the
state will begin allowing online gambling. The legislative budget office says
that Wall Street analysts expect it to bring in $40 million in tax revenue in
its first 12 months. Mr. Christie’s budget is counting on it to bring in $180
million in just seven.
* WE'LL SEE...
The Office of Legislative Services “has been unable to
identify any independent source that endorses such an estimate,” the budget
office director, David Rosen, told the Legislature in May. “And despite several
explicit requests, the Executive has offered no analysis to support its
estimate.”
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