* * * * * * * *
Today's WSJ Review & Outlook notes...
First sponsored in 2011 by California Republican Tom
McClintock and Pennsylvania Senator Pat Toomey, the Full Faith and Credit Act
is essentially an insurance policy against miscalculation. Their bill certifies
that U.S. sovereign debt will always be repaid, on time and in full.
If Congress fails to authorize a statutory increase in
the debt limit — during a period of, say, intense political conflict over the
fisc like the one now — the bill stipulates that Treasury can continue making
contractual interest and principal payments to bond holders and rolling over
debt with incoming tax payments. Debt service gets the first call on revenue.
* CAN CONTINUE...??? IS THAT A TYPO? NOT MUST
CONTINUE...??? (IF NOT... WHY NOT...???)
The McClintock-Toomey bill replicates the guarantees that
state constitutions have had for hundreds of years to strengthen investor
confidence. It gives the Treasury Secretary discretion to prioritize among
other federal obligations until the political deadlock ends, tempers cool and
the parties can reach a deal. But it makes his first priority to protect the
full faith and credit of the U.S.
* OK. SUPREME COURT JUSTICE IN WAITING BARKER WOULD VIEW
"MUST PRIORITIZE DEBT PAYMENTS ABOVE ALL OTHER EXPENDITURES," BUT
BEYOND THAT... LEAVING PRIORITIZATION OF THE BUDGET AS A WHOLE - THAT'S A
CONSTITUTIONAL BRIDGE TOO FAR. IT WOULD BE AN UNCONSTITUTIONAL DELEGATION OF
CONGRESSIONAL POWER WHEREAS THE LIMITED - STAND ALONE - PRIORITY INSTRUCTION IS
JUST THAT... A PRIORITY INSTRUCTION AND THEREFORE CONSTITUTIONAL.
Yet instead of embracing this insurance against default,
Democrats have voted to kill it even as they cry havoc about the risk of
default.
The House passed McClintock-Toomey in May, but only on a
221 to 207 party-line vote after a raucous debate. The White House issued a
formal veto threat, calling it "unwise, unworkable and unacceptably
risky."
* SO... BOTH PARTIES HAVE BEEN PLAYING GAMES.
House Republicans have continued to press the measure,
attaching it to a continuing resolution last week. But Mr. Reid moved to strip
it out, and his motion passed the Senate 54 to 44. The Majority Leader
denounced McClintock-Toomey as the "Pay China First Act."
* IN ANY CASE... THERE'S THE 14TH AMENDMENT... SECTION 4
OF THE 14TH AMENDMENT TO BE PRECISE.
Mr. Reid may think that is clever xenophobic political
cover, but someone should tell him that millions of Americans have a stake in
Treasurys through pension funds, 401(k)s, savings accounts and as individual
investors. Two-thirds of U.S. debt is held domestically and the Chinese own
roughly 7% to 10%, though who cares who U.S. creditors are if the goal is for
the U.S. to reassure its creditors?
In the May debate, Democrat after Democrat made the
argument that the provision would make school lunch programs, student loans,
unemployment insurance and the rest second-class.
* AGAIN... THE 14TH AMENDMENT ALREADY DOES THIS! (AND
THANK GOD IT DOES!)
"The validity of the public debt of the United States,
authorized by law, including debts incurred for payment of pensions and
bounties for services in suppressing insurrection or rebellion, shall not be
questioned..."
* SHALL... NOT... BE... QUESTIONED! (NOTE... IT DOESN'T
SAY "EXPENDITURES FOR SCHOOL LUNCH PROGRAMS, STUDENT LOANS, AND
UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE SHALL NOT BE QUESTIONED!)
So Democrats are denouncing Republicans for putting U.S.
credit at risk...
(*SCRATCHING MY HEAD*)
...even as they are denouncing Republicans for putting
U.S. credit first.
Which is it?
(*HEADACHE*)
A more serious objection to the bill is that investors
might still interpret such a funding shortfall as a reason to panic about U.S.
finances. Investors and bond vigilantes might read a failure to make prompt
Medicare payments as tantamount to default. But this would still be better than
an actual default that would mean breaking legal and financial contracts.
(Markets can tell the difference between a failure to pay
contractually obligated interest on time and a need to delay some government
bills due to a political impasse.)
Let's be clear: We aren't recommending either outcome.
The U.S. should meet all of its obligations.
* ACTUALLY THE U.S. SHOULD SHED AS MANY ARTIFICIAL
"OBLIGATIONS" AS IT CAN! (MEANING LOTS!) HEY... FOLKS... DEBT TAKES
PRIORITY OVER DISTRIBUTING OBAMAPHONES! IN THE REAL WORLD... YOU TIGHTEN YOUR
BELT WHEN YOU NEED TO. IF YOU'RE SHORT ON YOUR MORTGAGE BY $100/mo. YOU EITHER
MAKE AN ADDITIONAL $100/mo. OR ELSE YOU CUT $100/mo. ELSEWHERE. IT AIN'T ROCKET
SCIENCE.
A President who really wants to limit the chance of default
would take the GOP up on its Full Faith and Credit offer.
Mr. Obama's refusal suggests that his real goal is to go
to the edge of default, gambling that he can then either coerce total surrender
or blame a default on Republicans and use it to take back control of the House
in 2014. This isn't how leaders looking out for the interests of all Americans
behave.
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