Friday, May 18, 2012

Our Kids and Grandkids Are So Screwed...




Among the more controversial chapters in "Suicide of a Superpower," my book published last fall, was the one titled, "The End of White America."
  
It dealt with the demographic decline of the white majority and what it portends for education, the U.S. economy, politics and national unity.
  
That book and chapter proved the proximate cause of my departure from MSNBC, where the network president declared that subjects such as these are inappropriate for "the national dialogue."
  
Apparently, the mainstream media are reassessing that, for in rare unanimity The New York Times, The Washington Post and USA Today all led yesterday with the same story!
  
"Whites Account for Under Half of Births in U.S.," blared the Times headline. "Minority Babies Majority in U.S.," echoed the Post. "Minorities Are Now a Majority of Births," proclaimed USA Today.
  
The USA Today story continued, "The nation's growing diversity has huge implications for education, economics and politics."
  
Huge is right.
  
Not only are whites declining as a share of the population, they are declining in real terms. Between 2010 and 2011, the number of births to white women fell 10%. The median age of white Americans, now 43 and rising, means that half of all white women have moved past the age that they are ever likely to bear more children.
  
White America is a dying tribe.
  
What do these statistics mean politically?

Almost surely the end of the Republican Party as a national governing institution.
  
Republicans now depend on the vanishing majority for fully 90% of their votes in presidential elections, while the Democratic Party wins 60% to 70% of the Asian and Hispanic vote and 90% to 95% of the black vote.
  
The Democratic base is growing inexorably, while the Republican base is shriveling.
  
Already, California, Illinois and New York are lost. The GOP has not carried any of the three in five presidential elections. When Texas - where whites are a minority and a declining share of the population - tips, how does the GOP put together an electoral majority?
  
Western states like Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico and Arizona, which Republican nominees like Richard Nixon and Ronald Reagan swept almost every time they ran, are becoming problematic for the party.
  
Thus the GOP refrain: We must work harder to win over Hispanics.
  
Undeniably true. But how does the GOP appeal to them?
  
Fifty-three percent of all Hispanic children are born out of wedlock, with no father in the home and many of the moms themselves high school dropouts. Most Hispanic kids thus start school far behind. In tests of fourth-, eighth- and 12th-graders, their scores are closer to those of African-American kids than whites and Asians. Their dropout rate matches that of black kids. Absent affirmative action, not only are America's colleges and universities but also her professions are going to look far more Asian and white than the national population.
  
Not a formula for social peace.
  
Comes the reply: We must spend more to close the racial gap in test scores.

Yet, according to The Washington Examiner, in the District of Columbia, the community where we have spent perhaps the most per capita to close the racial gap in test scores, the racial gap is by far the largest in the nation.
  
Not only do we seem not to know how to close it after four decades of plunging trillions into public schools, the country is tapped out. We are in the fourth consecutive year of trillion-dollar deficits, and our largest and richest state, California, just discovered its deficit has exploded to $16 billion.
  
And why should Hispanics vote Republican? The majority of Hispanics are among that half of the population that pays no income tax. Why should they vote for a party whose major plank is that it will cut income taxes?
  
Hispanics benefit disproportionately from government programs. Government puts their kids in Head Start before pubic school and provides them with Pell grants and student loans after public school. From kindergarten through 12th grade, government educates their kids for free. Government provides them with free or subsidized health care through Medicaid and clinics. Government provides their families with public housing and rent supplements. Government provides the food stamps that feed the family. Government provides them with an annual earned income tax credit, a check just for working. Government provides all these things, and what are Republicans going to do? They promise to cut government.
  
Again, why should Hispanics vote Republican?
  
Establishment Republicans say the party should support amnesty for illegal aliens. Yet this would make millions more eligible for federal programs in a country sinking in debt and mean millions more Hispanics going to the polls, and millions more coming to America in anticipation of the next amnesty.
  
How would that help the GOP?
  
By endlessly expanding Great Society programs, by lopping taxpayers off tax rolls, by supporting open borders and endless immigration from the Third World, the Republican Party, out of sheer nobility of character, has probably ensured its impending departure from history.

2 comments:

William R. Barker said...

* TWO-PARTER... (Part 1 of 2)

http://www.rushlimbaugh.com/daily/2012/05/17/how_do_you_like_the_supposed_gop_plan_for_the_scotus_ruling_on_obamacare

* ACCORDING TO RUSH LIMBAUGH...

House Republican leaders are quietly hatching a plan of attack as they await a historic Supreme Court ruling on President Barack Obama’s health care law. If the law is upheld, Republicans will take to the floor to tear out its most controversial pieces, such as the individual mandate and requirements that employers provide insurance or face fines."

Okay, so far, so good, if the health care bill is left intact, the Republicans say they're gonna take to the floor and try to take out the individual mandate and the requirement that employers provide insurance or face fines.

Now, they're not gonna have the votes to get that done, but they're gonna put on the show.

But now listen: If the law is partially or fully overturned they’ll draw up bills to keep the popular, consumer-friendly portions in place - like allowing adult children to remain on parents’ health care plans until age 26, and forcing insurance companies to provide coverage for people with pre-existing conditions.

Ripping these provisions from law is too politically risky, Republicans say.

The post-Supreme Court plan - a ruling should come in June - has long been whispered about inside House leadership circles and among the House’s elected physicians but is now being discussed with a larger groups of lawmakers, showing that Republicans are aggressively preparing for a big-time health care debate in the heat of an election-year summer. On Tuesday, the major options were discussed during a small closed meeting of House Republican leaders, according to several sources present. Then on Wednesday, Speaker John Boehner gave the entire House Republican Conference a preview of where the party is heading. His message: 'When the court rules, we’ll be ready.' But Boehner warned that they’ll re-legislate the issue in smaller, bite sizes, rather than putting together an unwieldy new health care bill."

I don't know if they're floating a trial balloon here to gauge your reaction to this, which is entirely possible. By the way, it's not new. I've heard it said before that the Republicans think holding on to the kids on your policy 'til they're 26 and the preexisting conditions, we don't want to get rid of that, no, no, no, people like that. We've gotta find a way to keep that.

You know, that's been whispered about ever since ObamaCare was signed into law, and it has been a point of contention with conservative Republican voters who want this whole thing thrown out. If the court throws it out, don't put some of it back. This goes to the whole point, they set the premise, and then we end up reacting to it.

So the premise is, we gotta have a major health care bill.

All right, so we have to have a major health care bill.

Okay, so Republicans, we'll do one, but it'll be smarter and it'll be better and it'll be smaller. And that's the way these things go.

* TO BE CONTINUED...

William R. Barker said...

* CONCLUDING... (Part 2 of 2)

So I'm just gonna put it to you. Supreme Court overturns all of health care, just a hypothetical, do you want the Republicans writing a new piece of legislation that would contain provisions for letting your kids stay on your policy 'til he or she's 26 and forcing insurance companies to cover preexisting conditions?

I must tell you, when you force insurance companies to cover X, you don't have insurance anymore.

Well, the 26-year thing, before ObamaCare, kids were on their parents' policies as long as they were in college. That's another argument for not going to college. So as long as the kid was in college, yeah, theoretically they weren't working, well, they're not gonna be working when they get out of college, either. 'Cause the theory was the kid could stay on the parents' policy until he's 26, while in college. That was supposedly a proviso even before ObamaCare! The Republicans, they're floating it, they want to keep that. Even if the court overturns all of ObamaCare they want to keep the proviso that forces insurance companies to cover pre-existing conditions!

Look, I live in Realville. I'm the mayor. You force insurance companies to cover pre-existing conditions we're not talking insurance anymore. We're talking welfare. It's not insurance.

People don't want to hear this; I know.

What are the Republicans afraid of? I think the Republicans are afraid of what the Democrats are going to say if the whole thing's overturned - and it's very predictable - Obama and the Democrats - and I'll bet you the ads are already done - "Five white people on the Supreme Court took your health insurance away from you."

Well, "four white guys and a traitor that's black took your health coverage away from you ... hey still have theirs. They still have theirs but they just took yours." You know that's what the campaign's gonna be. In fact, there's a part of me that believes Obama actually wouldn't mind that, since he's totally focused on getting reelected right now. I mean without that all the rest of what he wants to do is academic.

Some of the ridiculous stuff that he's doing now [is] oriented toward getting reelected, it's not a stretch to believe that he wouldn't have a problem with this thing being found unconstitutional, 'cause, boy, what an opportunity they would think that is. "The Republican judges on the court," is what they would say - "The Republican judges on the court just took away your health care that we worked for a hundred years to get you."

"Over Republican objections, every congressional term, Republicans have always opposed you having health care, free health care, affordable health care," all those words will be thrown in.

"And five Republican judges just took it away from you."

That's what the Republicans are afraid of.

So if it's overturned and that campaign starts, what the Republicans in Congress want to do, "No, no, no, we like some provisions of this." That's why they're floating this. I guarantee you. Well, I can't guarantee you. I think they're floating this to gauge reaction to it. So I thought I'd put it out there and let you react however which way you will.